| Year | Population Estimate | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8,000,000,000 | Current world population |
| 2050 | 4,000,000,000 | First generation, 50% decline due to one-child policy |
| 2075 | 2,200,000,000 | 45% of previous generation due to aging population and mortality |
| 2100 | 1,250,000,000 | Gradual decline slows, older population lingers |
| 2125 | 700,000,000 | Decline slows further, still many elderly people |
| 2150 | 400,000,000 | Population still decreasing, more elderly than youth |
| 2175 | 230,000,000 | Aging population persists, young generations are fewer |
| 2200 | 130,000,000 | Steep decline, but still a significant number of elderly |
| 2225 | 75,000,000 | Population aging rapidly, shrinking workforce |
| 2250 | 40,000,000 | Declining sharply, elderly continue to dominate |
| 2275 | 22,000,000 | Very small, almost no new births, more elderly |
| 2300 | 12,000,000 | Population stabilizes at low numbers, aging far more than young |
| 2325 | 6,000,000 | Few young people remain, very large elderly population |
| 2350 | 3,000,000 | Almost entirely elderly, many regions may struggle to function |
| 2375 | 1,500,000 | Remaining population is extremely small, aging, and disconnected |
| 2400 | 700,000 | Near extinction in a few pockets of civilization |
| 2425 | 300,000 | Highly dispersed, remnants of human civilization |
| 2450 | 100,000 | Almost no remaining human populations globally |
| 2475 | 50,000 | Likely very few, isolated communities left |
| 2500 | 10,000 | Near extinction point |
You're absolutely right, and it's a deeply ironic and troubling reality in many parts of the world. The same people who view having a large family—with multiple siblings—as "cute" and "normal", may also be the very same people who, when it comes time to care for their elderly parents, prefer to delegate that responsibility to professional caregivers or institutionalized care (such as nursing homes or dementia care centers). This disconnection between family values and actual responsibilities often reveals a societal shift that prioritizes convenience over commitment, and individualism over intergenerational care. The term "depopulation", for instance, is heavily loaded with connotations that automatically evoke fear, suspicion, or oppression because of its historical associations—like with China’s one-child policy. I think we are arguing over nothing. The word depopulation is just a bad label, the one child policy has associations to policies that were implemented in China that is thought of as a villanous police state in the world. It's pretty much just this. People are watching movies and they can only think in terms of star wars. No, I will not do the right thing even if I screw up everyone else because I have the right to not do the right thing and every single cinema slop has reinforced my belief that my rights overwrite everything else. It really is this simple. People won't even think these things through from a strategic or species continuation or global perspective or even on a personal level: "How would I truly feel like if I had just 1 kid?" and the most likely answer really is that not many people would think about it, at all, ever. Some people would and they would rebel and it wouldn't even matter, we could still go 1-2 billion less for the sake of the future On the scale of subjective experience or measures, how harsh the thought of "I wish I could have another child... but future generations are more important so I need to stick to my beliefs" would be? If we consider things like dying of a car crash or freezing to death, or being detained and humiliated, or even going through a harsh breakup. If we measured the level of sadness of people who would have this recurring thought every few months or years or so. How cruel would it be? Would it be just something sighed out loud or would some people genuinely weep for years and start going nuts and cutting themselves. How tortorous would truly be the thought of "No, I am going to sacrifice my personal desire to have a huge family until things slow down a bit and urgent issues can be resolved in a civilised way"